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« Mashup DJ Girl Talk | Main | Points Of View »
Monday
Sep222008

Probabilistic Stock Market Forecast


I won't claim to understand or attempt to explain the math behind the investolution.com charts that predict the overall stock market for the next 40 days.
This page contains the prediction for S&P 500 Index minimum and maximum daily closing prices over the next 40 trading days.  

It is predicted that S&P 500 Index will not close under 1,178 and over 1,295 between the dates September 19, 2008 and November 14, 2008. This prediction method was accurate for 71.0% and 95.0% of the cases (for minimum and maximum predictions, respectively) within an error margin of +-5% in the past. 

Thanks Andrew for sending in the link.

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Reader Comments (8)

Hi,

The market is currently enjoying a good rally which has seen most stocks gain from competitive advantage and it would be advisable for all stock market enthusiasts to seize this opportunity and plan their investments in a safer yet conducive stock market. With NIFTY hovering around 4800-4900 +, it is expected to take hold of this currently rally and be realistically be closest to 5000 more so than before in what should be its new 52 week high.

Lot many untouched stocks are still there which are ready to blast any moment.

Regards
http://sharetipsinfo.com" title="SHARETIPSINFO TEAM" rel="nofollow">SHARETIPSINFO TEAM

November 30, 2009 | Unregistered Commentersharetipsinfo
Wall Street opened lower on Monday as shares fell globally following a surprise interest rate increase from China’s central bank.
The Dow Jones industrial average was down 32.54 points, or 0.28 percent, at 11,540.95. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index was down 3.14 points, or 0.25 percent, at 1,253.63. The Nasdaq Composite Index was down 8.92 points, or 0.33 percent, at 2,656.68.
It is the second time in three months that China has taken steps to slow the pace of its economic expansion. Inflation jumped to its highest levels in two years in November. Rising prices have led poor families to spend more than half of their incomes on food.for more details please visit to:-http://www puntercalls.com
December 29, 2010 | Unregistered Commenterpuntercalls
To be used in Blog

Nice post. Its always better to think before investing money in stock market. Investment should be done in share market but with the aim to increase our funds so speculation should not be the mode of investment. Investors should know why they are investing money in any stock.
Regards
<a href="http://www.Buzzingstreet.com" title="Buzzingstreet"> Buzzingstreet </a>
February 1, 2011 | Unregistered CommenterBUZZINGSTREET
Glad to see this information.its very interesting.I would like to hear more information from your side.
April 24, 2011 | Unregistered Commenteroptions trading
This blog Is very informative , I am really pleased to post my comment on this blog
Thanks
Regards
May 13, 2011 | Unregistered Commenterstock market
very good post, i was really searching for this topic as i wanted this topic to understand completely and it is also very rare in internet that is why it was very difficult to understand. thank you for sharing this.

Regard
July 1, 2011 | Unregistered CommenterShare Market
I really appreciate your post and you explain each and every point very well.Thanks for sharing this information.And I'll love to read your next post too.

Regards
July 9, 2011 | Unregistered Commentertrade4target
Very useful information shared in your post. Keep on sharing the same so that we can keep ourselves updated with the market update and can understand the changes in market before investing. But there are some additional factors which can be known from stock future tips.
March 7, 2018 | Unregistered CommenterNita
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